Monday, May 26, 2025

Significance of Leads in Bandits' Playoff Games (2005 - 2026)

We've done what happens to the Bandits in the regular season when they take a lead. What about the playoffs? You'd think that the competition would be tougher, so the chances of blowing a lead or making a comeback might be smaller. Let's see how the numbers work. 

Lead - Record

Three-goal lead - 30-4

Four-goal lead - 25-2

Five-goal lead - 18-1

Six-goal lead - 13-1

Seven-goal lead - 8-0

Eight-goal lead - 7-0

Nine-goal lead - 6-0

10-goal lead - 1-0

11-goal lead - 1-0

12-goal lead - 1-0

13-goal lead - 1-0 

Now for the flip side:

Deficit - Record

Three-goal deficit - 4-15

Four-goal deficit - 2-9

Five-goal deficit - 0-9

Six-goal deficit - 0-6

Seven-goal deficit - 0-5

Eight-goal deficit - 0-1

Nine-goal deficit - 0-1

Let's narrow down the margins to those in the fourth quarter. If the Bandits were ahead by a certain number at any point of the period (including one second), it counts for these purposes. I've added two-goal stats here, because they can be significant in such a small time span.

Lead - Record

Two-goal lead - 21-5

Three-goal lead - 14-1

Four-goal lead - 13-0

Five-goal lead - 12-0

Six-goal lead - 9-0

Seven-goal lead - 7-0

Eight-goal lead - 7-0

Nine-goal lead - 6-0

10-goal lead - 1-0

11-goal lead - 1-0

12-goal lead - 1-0

13-goal lead - 1-0

The Bandits are close to money in the bank once they have a two-goal lead in the fourth quarter. Let's turn the numbers around, and it seems any deficit is difficult to overcome:

Deficit - Record

Two-goal deficit - 1-10 

Three-goal deficit - 1-6 

Four-goal deficit - 1-5

Five-goal deficit - 0-7

Six-goal deficit - 0-5

Seven-goal deficit - 0-3

Eight-goal deficit - 0-2

Nine-goal deficit - 0-2

Updated on April 28, 2026

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