Monday, May 26, 2025

Significance of Leads in Bandits' Playoff Games (2014 - 2025)

We've done what happens to the Bandits in the regular season when they take a lead. What about the playoffs? You'd think that the competition would be tougher, so the chances of blowing a lead or making a comeback might be smaller. Let's see how the numbers work. 

Lead - Record

Three-goal lead - 22-1

Four-goal lead - 19-0

Five-goal lead - 14-0

Six-goal lead - 10-0

Seven-goal lead - 7-0

Eight-goal lead - 6-0

Nine-goal lead - 6-0

10-goal lead - 1-0

11-goal lead - 1-0

12-goal lead - 1-0

13-goal lead - 1-0 

Now for the flip side:

Deficit - Record

Three-goal deficit - 3-9

Four-goal deficit - 1-4

Five-goal deficit - 0-4

Six-goal deficit - 0-2

Seven-goal deficit - 0-2

Let's narrow down the margins to those in the fourth quarter. If the Bandits were ahead by a certain number at any point of the period (including one second), it counts for these purposes. I've added two-goal stats here, because they can be significant in such a small time span.

Lead - Record

Two-goal lead - 14-2

Three-goal lead - 8-0

Four-goal lead - 9-0

Five-goal lead - 9-0

Six-goal lead - 6-0

Seven-goal lead - 6-0

Eight-goal lead - 6-0

Nine-goal lead - 6-0

10-goal lead - 1-0

11-goal lead - 1-0

12-goal lead - 1-0

13-goal lead - 1-0

The Bandits are close to money in the bank once they have a two-goal lead in the fourth quarter. Let's turn the numbers around, and it seems a three-goal (or more) deficit is difficult to ovecome:

Deficit - Record

Two-goal deficit - 1-7

Three-goal deficit - 1-4

Four-goal deficit - 1-2

Five-goal deficit - 0-3

Six-goal deficit - 0-2

Seven-goal deficit - 0-1

Updated on May 26, 2025

No comments:

Post a Comment

Introducing Goals Created

Here's a statistic that has been floating around my brain for more than 30 years ... and it's time to apply it in a new way.  Baseba...